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f0gax Ballot for 2017 Week 12

Ballot Type: Human

Submitted: Nov. 12, 2017, 7:08 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Playoff Prediction Mode engaged. The top four is my expected playoff field, in order. Next four are most the likely replacements (mostly in order). Next four after that are longer shot replacements (mostly in order). Spots 8-12 do not necessarily indicate that those teams are "Top 12" in the nation or better than a team below them. Just that if a top four/eight team falls or certain conditions are met, those teams would most likely move into the playoff field. Beyond the top 12 it's a more traditional poll.

Rank Team Reason
1 Alabama Crimson Tide Despite the close win, I still think that they're hard to beat. Until someone does, I'm leaving them here.
2 Wisconsin Badgers Class of the B1G right now.
3 Miami Hurricanes They back. I think they can beat Clemson and roll into the playoffs undefeated.
4 Oklahoma Sooners Between the B12 and Pac, one's champ will be left out. I think the B12 has the stronger teams overall. And that will put their eventual champ into the tournament.
5 Clemson Tigers If they win out and beat Miami, they'd be in. Simple as that.
6 Georgia Bulldogs Yes they lost to Auburn. But they still only have the one loss. If they win out, including a win in Atlanta against either Bama or Auburn, they get in.
7 Auburn Tigers The two losses really hurts them I think. Beating Bama would be great for their chances. Beating Georgia again, might be a push. In the end, I think they'd need a little touch of chaos in order to be assured a spot. Which is why I have them ranked just below Georgia.
8 TCU Horned Frogs By my reckoning, if they win out they would get a second shot at OU in the CG. Win that, and with some chaos, they could find their way into the tournament.
9 UCF Knights They already beat Memphis once, and still have USF to play. Win out (including a likely rematch with Memphis) and they are at least in the NY6. Again, a healthy dose of chaos could put them into the tournament.
10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish With two losses they probably should be out entirely. But this season seems to have chaos in the air. So given their resume I can't count them out entirely at this point. 
11 USC Trojans If the PAC is sending anyone, it's USC. That is presuming they win out and a number of teams above lose.
12 Memphis Tigers Win out (including UCF rematch) + chaos. That's the formula for Memphis to sniff the playoff. But it's a long shot I think.
13 Ohio State Buckeyes
14 Penn State Nittany Lions
15 USF Bulls
16 Stanford Cardinal
17 Arizona Wildcats
18 Oklahoma State Cowboys
19 NC State Wolfpack
20 West Virginia Mountaineers
21 Washington State Cougars
22 LSU Tigers
23 Washington Huskies
24 Virginia Tech Hokies
25 Michigan Wolverines

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