Ballot Type: Human

Submitted: Nov. 5, 2017, 7:12 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Playoff Prediction Mode engaged. The top four is my expected playoff field, in order. Next four are most the likely replacements (mostly in order). Next four after that are longer shot replacements (mostly in order). Spots 8-12 do not necessarily indicate that those teams are "Top 12" in the nation or better than a team below them. Just that if a top four/eight team falls or certian conditions are met, those teams would most likely move into the playoff field. Beyond the top 12 it's a more traditional poll.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	Same as it ever was.
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	I watched a lot of their game against Wake. They have everything working at a high level. Win and they're in.
3	Clemson Tigers	I'm one of those people giving Clemson the benefit of the doubt due to the QB injury against Syracuse.
4	Wisconsin Badgers	Last undefeated B1G team. If they win out, they should be in.
5	Georgia Bulldogs	Look. They're good. But until I see something different, Bama looks nigh unstoppable. And I still don't see, barring chaos, two teams from the same conference in the playoff just yet.
6	Miami Hurricanes	Similar to Georgia. Even with one loss, I think Clemson is better and would win if they meet in the conference championship game. That opinion may change.
7	Oklahoma Sooners	Neck and neck with TCU. OU has the better win (Ohio State), but I think TCU's loss to Iowa State is "better". OU/TCU play this weekend. It'll get sorted.
8	Washington Huskies	If anyone from the PAC is getting in, it's Washington if they win out and have help.
9	UCF Knights	G5 candidate. As always, the G5 needs chaos to get in.
10	TCU Horned Frogs	See the Oklahoma note.
11	Auburn Tigers	With help, and a win against Bama they could get a sniff.
12	Michigan State Spartans	In the B1G East I like their resume a little better than OSU. But they'll both need help at 2 losses.
13	USC Trojans
14	Memphis Tigers
15	Virginia Cavaliers
16	Ohio State Buckeyes
17	Michigan Wolverines
18	Virginia Tech Hokies
19	Penn State Nittany Lions
20	USF Bulls
21	West Virginia Mountaineers
22	Washington State Cougars
23	Iowa State Cyclones
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys
25	NC State Wolfpack

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.54
3	Clemson Tigers	0.57
4	Wisconsin Badgers	0.00
5	Georgia Bulldogs	-2.57
6	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
8	Washington Huskies	0.00
9	UCF Knights	0.05
10	TCU Horned Frogs	-0.01
11	Auburn Tigers	0.00
12	Michigan State Spartans	0.00
13	USC Trojans	0.00
14	Memphis Tigers	0.94
15	Virginia Cavaliers	10.17
16	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.21
17	Michigan Wolverines	0.96
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.00
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.73
20	USF Bulls	0.34
21	West Virginia Mountaineers	0.25
22	Washington State Cougars	-0.32
23	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-2.41
25	NC State Wolfpack	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.23
Iowa Hawkeyes	0.36

Total Score: 21.64