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hythloday1 Ballot for 2017 Week 10

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 31, 2017, 7:50 a.m.

Overall Rationale: This is a resume-based ballot which only considers the quality of opponents played to date. At this point opponent quality is about half S&P+ (and Sagarin rankings of FCS teams) and half my own eyetest. Like most entirely backwards-looking ballots, it's still got some wonky results midseason, but those are getting rarer at this point. I award a fixed-value undefeated bonus which diminishes in relative value over the course of the season; we're now seeing one-loss teams start to overcome that barrier. The strangest results at this point are teams who have a long string of wins over teams I've classified in "average" category, but a few of those opponents are probably in fact below average ... but they're getting the benefit of the doubt because they haven't lost enough games yet.  That's obviously a self-correcting problem - if they are in fact bad opponents the masquerade will inevitably end, if they're not, they'll prove it in the stretch.

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