Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Jan. 10, 2017, 9:22 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Most important to note:  One game does not invalidate a whole season and my computer will not overreact to a single bad game.  It looks a full bodies of work, keep that in mind before going off the handle.   The max score going forward will be 1.00 for all first place. Scores will be the percentage of the maximum possible points received that week. Since the number of polls has increased so greatly the human poll has had its extra vote taken away.   It now is only a single vote among the 1 votes tallied. . All models are completely unseeded. The models returning from last week are the Page, MLE, QELO, NSoR, Skill, Wins Over, and Margin models. The future models have been removed as there are too few games left to impact projections. All  models will be explained in the weekly reddit post along with my human voting tendencies. As always, the human poll is the first tie breaker followed by my MLE model. NR stands for not ranked in my human ranking.Note:  Changes this week are relative to week 12 due to computer models not being submit last week.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Clemson Tigers	Score: 0.98 Human Rank: #1 Change: Up 4
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	Score: 0.97 Human Rank: #2 Change: Down 1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	Score: 0.9 Human Rank: #4 Change: Down 1
4	Michigan Wolverines	Score: 0.85 Human Rank: #9 Change: Down 1
5	Washington Huskies	Score: 0.8 Human Rank: #3 Change: Down 1
6	Oklahoma Sooners	Score: 0.705 Human Rank: #5 Change: Up 5
7	Wisconsin Badgers	Score: 0.675 Human Rank: #10 Change: ---
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	Score: 0.615 Human Rank: #7 Change: Down 2
9	USC Trojans	Score: 0.585 Human Rank: #8 Change: Down 1 
10	Florida State Seminoles	Score: 0.585 Human Rank: #8 Change: Up 6
11	Miami Hurricanes	Score: 0.545 Human Rank: #18 Change: Up 4
12	LSU Tigers	Score: 0.525 Human Rank: #14 Change: Up 2
13	Louisville Cardinals	Score: 0.480 Human Rank: #25 Change: Down 4
14	Western Michigan Broncos	Score: 0.395 Human Rank: #12 Change: Down 2
15	Colorado Buffaloes	Score: 0.330 Human Rank: #16 Change: Down 5
16	Florida Gators	Score: 0.325 Human Rank: #17 Change: Up 11
17	Auburn Tigers	Score: 0.305 Human Rank: #NR Change: Down 4
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	Score: 0.285 Human Rank: #15 Change: Up 1
19	Tennessee Volunteers	Score: 0.270 Human Rank: #19 Change: Up 10
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	Score: 0.260 Human Rank: #11 Change: Up 10
21	Stanford Cardinal	Score: 0.240 Human Rank: #13 Change: Down 1
22	WKU Hilltoppers	Score: 0.19 Human Rank: #23 Change: Up 1
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	Score: 0.17 Human Rank: #NR Change: Up 5
24	Washington State Cougars	Score: 0.14 Human Rank: #NR Change: Down 7
25	Appalachian State Mountaineers	Score: 0.135 Human Rank: #NR Change: Up 9 Next 3 Out: Texas A&M (0.135, NR, Down 8), Northwestern(0.075, NR, Up 11), Toledo (0.060, NR, Up 9)

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Clemson Tigers	0.00
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.50
4	Michigan Wolverines	1.91
5	Washington Huskies	0.00
6	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0.23
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
9	USC Trojans	-0.81
10	Florida State Seminoles	-0.35
11	Miami Hurricanes	2.26
12	LSU Tigers	0.22
13	Louisville Cardinals	1.70
14	Western Michigan Broncos	0.00
15	Colorado Buffaloes	0.00
16	Florida Gators	0.00
17	Auburn Tigers	1.45
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.00
19	Tennessee Volunteers	0.19
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-2.47
21	Stanford Cardinal	-1.73
22	WKU Hilltoppers	0.46
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	1.74
24	Washington State Cougars	1.08
25	Appalachian State Mountaineers	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
USF Bulls	1.11
West Virginia Mountaineers	1.48
Utah Utes	0.48
San Diego State Aztecs	0.04

Total Score: 20.20