/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Playoff Prediction Mode engaged. The top four is my expected playoff field, in order. Next four are most the likely replacements (mostly in order). Beyond the top 8 it's a more traditional poll.The CFP committee has shown certain preferences through two seasons, this poll reflects that through the top 8.

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	I know very little about darkness, Mr Saban, except that we cannot stop its coming.
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	I've been convinced that the committee is likely to take OSU over PSU.
3	Clemson Tigers	Beat VT for the ACC title and they're in. No ifs, ands, or buts.
4	Washington Huskies	Beat Colorado for the PAC12 title and they're in. No ifs, ands, or buts.
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	If they can beat Wisconsin handily in the B1GCG, they could definitely get in if the committee thinks that extra game boosts them over OSU. Or if Washington stumbles against Colorado.
6	Oklahoma Sooners	Hope for a little dose of chaos (losses by Clemson and/or Washington), along with a woodshedding of the Pokes in Bedlam.
7	Western Michigan Broncos	Win the MAC, and then hope for a LOT of chaos (losses by Clemson AND Washington). Toss in a Sooners loss to the Pokes.
8	Wisconsin Badgers	If they beat PSU handily and there are some losses (Clemson/Washington again), maybe the committee puts them in along with OSU.
9	Michigan Wolverines
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	I still count the CMU loss as a loss. And I'm not sure why it's a discussion. A P5 team with playoff aspirations doesn't let a team like CMU hang around. Much less leave them in ANY position to win at the end.
11	Florida State Seminoles
12	Navy Midshipmen
13	Colorado Buffaloes
14	USC Trojans
15	West Virginia Mountaineers
16	Stanford Cardinal
17	Virginia Tech Hokies
18	Auburn Tigers
19	Nebraska Cornhuskers
20	Florida Gators	Finally out of the "top 8". Even if they were to beat Bama (unless somehow it's done in a blowout [lol]), that probably doesn't drop the Tide out.
21	Wyoming Cowboys
22	USF Bulls
23	Louisville Cardinals
24	Houston Cougars
25	LSU Tigers

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Clemson Tigers	0.00
4	Washington Huskies	0.00
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.71
6	Oklahoma Sooners	0.53
7	Western Michigan Broncos	0.22
8	Wisconsin Badgers	-0.43
9	Michigan Wolverines	-1.28
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.00
11	Florida State Seminoles	0.07
12	Navy Midshipmen	1.51
13	Colorado Buffaloes	-1.78
14	USC Trojans	-0.37
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	0.00
16	Stanford Cardinal	0.00
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.00
18	Auburn Tigers	0.00
19	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.34
20	Florida Gators	0.00
21	Wyoming Cowboys	4.21
22	USF Bulls	0.00
23	Louisville Cardinals	-0.79
24	Houston Cougars	0.00
25	LSU Tigers	-0.17

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Iowa Hawkeyes	0.53
Pittsburgh Panthers	0.21

Total Score: 13.16

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f0gax Ballot for 2016 Week 14

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