Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 28, 2016, 11:28 a.m.
Overall Rationale: This week my ballot grew even further.  The max score going forward will be 1.00 for all first place. Scores will be the percentage of the maximum possible points received that week. Since the number of polls has increased so greatly the human poll has had its extra vote taken away.   It now is only a single vote among the 1 votes tallied. . All models are completely unseeded. The models returning from last week are the Page, MLE, QELO, NSoR, Skill, Wins Over, Margin, SimuRank, and Power Rank models.  The future models have been removed as there are too few games left to impact projections. All 9 models will be explained in the weekly reddit post along with my human voting tendencies. As always, the human poll is the first tie breaker followed by my MLE model. NR stands for not ranked in my human ranking.Note:  Changes this week are relative to week 12 due to computer models not being submit last week.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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Score: 0.984 Human Rank: #1 Change: =  |
2 |
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Score: 0.948 Human Rank: #2 Change: = |
3 |
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Score: 0.892 Human Rank: #5 Change: = |
4 |
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Score: 0.864 Human Rank: #3 Change: = |
5 |
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Score: 0.824 Human Rank: #7 Change: Up 1 |
6 |
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Score: 0.756 Human Rank: #4 Change: Up 1 |
7 |
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Score: 0.720 Human Rank: #9 Change: Up 2 |
8 |
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Score: 0.676 Human Rank: #7 Change: = |
9 |
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Score: 0.556 Human Rank: #10 Change: Down 4 |
10 |
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Score: 0.548 Human Rank: #14 Change: Up 1 |
11 |
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Score: 0.504 Human Rank: #11 Change: Up 3 |
12 |
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Score: 0.504 Human Rank: #19 Change: = |
13 |
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Score: 0.444 Human Rank: #8 Change: Up 4 |
14 |
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Score: 0.396 Human Rank: NR Change: Down 1 |
15 |
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Score: 0.328 Human Rank: #13 Change: Up 3 |
16 |
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Score: 0.292 Human Rank: NR Change: Up 8 |
17 |
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Score: 0.268 Human Rank: NR Change: Down 7 |
18 |
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Score: 0.248 Human Rank: NR Change: Down 3 |
19 |
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Score: 0.240 Human Rank: NR Change: Down 3 |
20 |
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Score: 0.228 Human Rank: #17 Change: Up 2 |
21 |
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Score: 0.224 Human Rank: #15 Change: Up 5 |
22 |
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Score: 0.208 Human Rank: #14 Change: Up 3 |
23 |
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Score: 0.192 Human Rank: NR Change: Up 6 |
24 |
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Score: 0.180 Human Rank: #16 Change: Down 5 |
25 |
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Score: 0.152 Human Rank: #10 Change: Up 3 Next 3 Out: Houston (0.140, NR,Up 11), Iowa (0.124, #21,Up 7), Tennessee (0.104, NR,Down 7) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.70 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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-0.22 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.17 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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1.74 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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1.41 |
13 |
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-1.48 |
14 |
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1.52 |
15 |
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-0.36 |
16 |
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8.96 |
17 |
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3.57 |
18 |
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7.00 |
19 |
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0.79 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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-0.43 |
23 |
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1.94 |
24 |
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-2.58 |
25 |
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-3.69 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.21 |
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0.40 |
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0.46 |
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0.53 |
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0.21 |
Total Score: 39.36